Ciena bags 20.5% growth perhaps thanks to Huawei dilemma

Optical networking company Ciena posted positive results for the first quarter of 2019, with total revenues of $778.5 million beating analyst expectations.

There have been whispers in corners of various conferences that a Huawei ban could benefit some, and it may well be having a positive impact for Ciena. While there are numerous other companies which would compete with Huawei in the optical equipment segment, with Ciena one of the few ‘pure-play’ companies it might have a more notable impact on the financials.

That said, irrelevant of where the favourable fortune has come from investors will be happy. $778.5 million represents a 20.5% year-on-year increase for the first quarter, while nearly all geographical markets have shown healthy growth.

“We began fiscal 2019 with a very strong first quarter performance, including outstanding top and bottom line growth as well as continued market share gains,” said Gary Smith, CEO of Ciena. “We believe that the combination of our leading innovation and positive industry dynamics will enable us to further extend our leadership position.”

Net income for the quarter stood at $33.6 million, though this is incomparable to the same period of 2018 which registered a loss of $473.4 million thanks to President Donald Trump’s US tax reform.

Looking at the regions, in the US, a market which now accounts for 62% of the company’s total revenues, the earnings grew just over 20% to $485.5 million, while 20% growth was also registered in the APAC region. The big success story however was in Europe, where the team grew the business by 32% to $129.2 million. This is still only 16.6% of the total haul for Ciena, but more geographical diversification will certainly be welcomed.

For Ciena, Europe could be a very interesting market over the next couple of months. With Huawei coming under increasing scrutiny globally, telcos will look to further diversify supply chains to add more resilience and protect themselves from potential government bans. While the anti-China rhetoric being spouted out by the White House is losing momentum, the European Union is reportedly looking some sort of ban, even if this puts the Brussels bureaucrats at odds with some member states.

For such vast investments, telcos will be looking for certainty and consistency from government policies. When looking at Huawei as a potential vendor, telcos will naturally be nervous, even if they don’t want to admit it.

With Huawei’s ban set to have little impact on the US market, it is not a major supplier to the market historically, the Europe could be a hidden goldmine for Ciena.

Interestingly enough, this scenario also seems to be paying off dividend in the APAC markets as well. Smith notes the success in the APAC region has come from Australia, Japan and Korea, three markets where Huawei has either been explicitly banned or is receiving a rather frosty welcome.

Microsoft’s resurgence continues, driven by strength in cloud and gaming

Microsoft’s results demonstrated a continued upward trajectory, with the cloud and gaming units standing out with particularly strong performances.

Since wrapping up the last financial year by breaking the $100 billion annual revenue mark three months ago, Microsoft should not have been immune to the recent financial market gloom hanging over the technology sector. But the Q1 results of its financial year 2019 published on Wednesday are telling a different story.

On corporate level, the total revenue was $29.1 billion, up by 19% over the same period last year, and net income reached $8.8 billion, up by 34%, indicating an excellent management of both the top line and bottom line.

“We are off to a great start in fiscal 2019, a result of our innovation and the trust customers are placing in us to power their digital transformation,” said CEO Satya Nadella. “We’re excited to help our customers build the digital capability they need to thrive and grow, with a business model that is fundamentally aligned to their success.”

All the business units have registered growth, but the most impressive part is how balanced the company has become.

Microsoft Financials Q3 2018

More Personal Computing continued to be the largest revenue contributor with $10.7 billion, an increase of 15%; this is a story of two extremes. Standing out in this group is the gaming division, which reported a revenue growth of 44%, with Xbox software and services revenue up by 36%, indicating its strategy to tie exclusive titles from gaming companies is reaping rewards. At the other end of the spectrum, Windows OEM grew by 3%, further proof that the PC market is slowing, but the pronouncement of its demise is still premature. Between the two extremes sat search advertising (Bing) which grew by 17%, Surface up by 14% indicating the new models are winning some traction, and Windows commercial products and cloud services, up by 12%.

Productivity and Business Processes contributed $9.8 billion in revenue, an increase of 19%. The Office commercial and consumer products and cloud service as the business application suite Dynamics all registered healthy growth, but what caught our eyes was the 33% revenue growth by LinkedIn, and a 34% increase in average session length. The revenue numbers may still be small (it is not disclosed separately) but it is a sign that two years after the $26 billion acquisition of the professional social network Microsoft is turning it around. This is particularly impressive when compared to the lacklustre performance reported by Facebook recently.

Intelligent Cloud, the smallest of the three business units by revenue reported the highest growth rate of 24%. Azure continued to deliver stellar numbers, its revenue increased by 76%. This may be lower than the 90% growth it reported last quarter but would surely be the envy of any other company.

If Microsoft’s mobile first strategy flopped badly a few years ago, its cloud first strategy is definitely paying off. As Amy Hood, the CFO said, “We see continued demand for our cloud offerings, reflected in our commercial cloud revenue of $8.5 billion, up 47% year over year.”

The management is confident in the next quarter, giving bullish guidance during the earnings call